FC Lugano vs FC Wil analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.4%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
19.9%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 1999 |
YVE
1 - 0
LUG
53%
25%
23%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1999 |
ETO
0 - 2
LUG
38%
27%
35%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 1999 |
LUG
2 - 0
YOB
52%
25%
23%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1999 |
FCA
0 - 1
LUG
54%
24%
22%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 1999 |
LUG
2 - 1
DEL
55%
23%
22%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
FC Wil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 1999 |
WIL
1 - 0
SIO
38%
25%
38%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1999 |
WIL
3 - 4
YOB
56%
23%
22%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1999 |
FCA
3 - 1
WIL
54%
24%
22%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 1999 |
WIL
1 - 0
FCA
51%
23%
26%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 1999 |
WIL
1 - 4
DEL
58%
21%
21%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | -1 |