FC Lugano vs Stade Nyonnais analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.6%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.1%
2-0
14.4%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16.7%
8.6%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2009 |
SCH
2 - 2
LUG
25%
25%
51%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2009 |
LAU
1 - 1
LUG
24%
24%
52%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2009 |
LUG
2 - 0
LOC
77%
16%
8%
|
62 | 46 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2009 |
BIE
0 - 3
LUG
32%
26%
43%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2009 |
WIN
2 - 2
LUG
29%
24%
46%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Stade Nyonnais
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
STA
0 - 2
LAU
41%
26%
33%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2009 |
THU
1 - 1
STA
63%
21%
15%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2009 |
STA
1 - 4
STG
15%
22%
63%
|
49 | 72 | 23 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2009 |
CON
2 - 1
STA
63%
20%
17%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2009 |
STA
1 - 0
WIL
27%
26%
48%
|
49 | 60 | 11 | +1 |