FC Lugano vs St. Gallen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
22.9%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 1989 |
LAU
1 - 1
LUG
58%
22%
20%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 1989 |
LUG
2 - 1
FCW
52%
26%
22%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Jul. 1989 |
NEX
4 - 2
LUG
70%
18%
13%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Jul. 1989 |
LUG
1 - 2
GCZ
41%
27%
32%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 1989 |
BEL
2 - 2
LUG
40%
27%
33%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
St. Gallen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 1989 |
STG
1 - 1
SER
42%
25%
34%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 1989 |
FCL
1 - 1
STG
55%
24%
21%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 1989 |
STG
0 - 0
FCA
51%
26%
23%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 1989 |
YOB
1 - 1
STG
63%
20%
17%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Jul. 1989 |
STG
2 - 2
SIO
36%
27%
37%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | 0 |