FC Lugano vs St. Gallen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.2%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.3%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
23.9%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 1979 |
NEX
2 - 0
LUG
54%
25%
22%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1979 |
LUG
1 - 0
CSC
52%
25%
23%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 1979 |
LUG
0 - 2
GCZ
27%
23%
50%
|
69 | 82 | 13 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 1979 |
LAU
2 - 1
LUG
62%
21%
17%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 1979 |
LUG
1 - 3
YOB
51%
25%
24%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
St. Gallen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 1979 |
STG
4 - 0
ZUR
33%
28%
39%
|
70 | 84 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1979 |
SER
4 - 1
STG
73%
17%
10%
|
71 | 84 | 13 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 1979 |
STG
2 - 3
YOB
54%
24%
22%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1979 |
NEX
1 - 0
STG
52%
26%
22%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 1979 |
STG
1 - 1
CSC
57%
23%
20%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |