Europa League 1/16
Global 1-3
FC Lugano vs Slavia Praha analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.4%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.6%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.6%
25%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
38.6%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.4%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 1995 |
LUG
2 - 0
YOB
63%
22%
15%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1995 |
LAU
3 - 0
LUG
40%
27%
33%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 1995 |
LUG
1 - 1
STG
55%
24%
21%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1995 |
INT
0 - 1
LUG
65%
21%
13%
|
76 | 87 | 11 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 1995 |
SER
2 - 3
LUG
44%
27%
29%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Slavia Praha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 1995 |
SLP
9 - 1
HRA
76%
17%
8%
|
83 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1995 |
ESK
2 - 3
SLP
32%
25%
42%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1995 |
SLP
0 - 0
SCF
57%
21%
22%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1995 |
SLP
2 - 1
VKP
71%
17%
12%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1995 |
JAB
2 - 1
SLP
34%
25%
42%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |