FC Lugano vs Servette analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.6%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
7%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.7%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
32.2%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
14
1º
4º
2º
13
3º
7º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
14 | 39 |
1º
|
24.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
14 | 39 |
2º
|
26% | |
|
7º
|
10 | 38 |
3º
|
16.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
13 | 37 |
4º
|
9% | |
|
2º
|
14 | 35 |
5º
|
10% | |
|
6º
|
10 | 34 |
6º
|
19.5% | |
|
5º
|
11 | 30 |
7º
|
17% | |
|
9º
|
6 | 30 |
8º
|
19% | |
|
8º
|
7 | 23 |
9º
|
16.5% | |
|
10º
|
5 | 21 |
10º
|
22% | |
|
11º
|
5 | 20 |
11º
|
27% | |
|
12º
|
4 | 20 |
12º
|
38% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
94.5% | 78.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
5.5% | 21.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2024 |
FEN
2 - 1
LUG
55%
21%
24%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
BAS
1 - 2
LUG
38%
25%
37%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | +1 |
| 23 Jul. 2024 |
LUG
3 - 4
FEN
39%
26%
35%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
LUG
2 - 1
GCZ
57%
23%
20%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | +1 |
| 17 Jul. 2024 |
INT
3 - 2
LUG
86%
10%
4%
|
84 | 99 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Servette
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
SER
3 - 2
YVE
59%
22%
19%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2024 |
SER
3 - 1
YOB
42%
26%
33%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
FCL
1 - 2
SER
35%
26%
40%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
ETO
2 - 1
SER
15%
21%
65%
|
85 | 63 | 22 | -1 |
| 09 Jul. 2024 |
SER
3 - 2
KVC
50%
24%
27%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |