FC Lugano vs Servette analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.9%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.8%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.4%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.2%
10.9%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2009 |
CON
2 - 3
LUG
35%
24%
41%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2009 |
LUG
4 - 0
STA
75%
17%
9%
|
63 | 49 | 14 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2009 |
SCH
2 - 2
LUG
25%
25%
51%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2009 |
LAU
1 - 1
LUG
24%
24%
52%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2009 |
LUG
2 - 0
LOC
77%
16%
8%
|
63 | 48 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Servette
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2009 |
SER
3 - 2
LAC
43%
25%
32%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2009 |
SER
0 - 0
WOH
44%
25%
32%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2009 |
LOC
1 - 1
SER
39%
26%
35%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2009 |
SER
1 - 4
STG
18%
23%
59%
|
52 | 73 | 21 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2009 |
LAU
0 - 1
SER
51%
25%
25%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | +1 |