FC Lugano vs Servette analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.4%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.6%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
32%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 1994 |
LUG
4 - 0
YOB
53%
24%
23%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 1994 |
FCA
0 - 0
LUG
53%
25%
22%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 1994 |
LUG
3 - 0
SIO
38%
28%
34%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | +1 |
| 27 Jul. 1994 |
BAS
0 - 1
LUG
65%
20%
15%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 May. 1994 |
LAU
0 - 2
LUG
51%
25%
24%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Servette
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 1994 |
SER
0 - 0
LAU
63%
21%
16%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 1994 |
STB
4 - 1
SER
60%
19%
21%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Aug. 1994 |
SIO
3 - 2
SER
42%
26%
31%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 1994 |
SER
1 - 0
STG
55%
24%
22%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Jul. 1994 |
SER
1 - 2
NEX
60%
22%
18%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | -1 |