FC Lugano vs Servette analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.1%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.6%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.4%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.4%
64.5%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
11.4%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.7%
0-3
7.7%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.8%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.5%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 1980 |
LUG
0 - 2
ZUR
21%
27%
52%
|
61 | 82 | 21 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1980 |
STG
4 - 0
LUG
69%
19%
12%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 1980 |
LUG
2 - 5
NEX
46%
25%
29%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 1980 |
CSC
3 - 1
LUG
67%
19%
14%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 1980 |
LUG
0 - 1
LAU
44%
26%
30%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Servette
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 1980 |
SER
2 - 1
CHI
86%
9%
5%
|
84 | 63 | 21 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1980 |
ZUR
1 - 3
SER
54%
23%
23%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1980 |
SER
4 - 2
GCZ
59%
22%
19%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1980 |
STG
1 - 1
SER
31%
27%
42%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1980 |
SER
0 - 0
BAS
67%
19%
14%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |