FC Lugano vs Neuchâtel Xamax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.1%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.5%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
31.3%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
LUG
2 - 1
THU
35%
25%
40%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
LUG
3 - 1
STG
46%
25%
29%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
GCZ
2 - 1
LUG
36%
27%
37%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
LUG
2 - 2
BAS
20%
23%
57%
|
69 | 82 | 13 | +2 |
| 26 Sep. 2018 |
NEX
2 - 1
LUG
46%
24%
30%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | -2 |
Matches
Neuchâtel Xamax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
NEX
1 - 2
FCL
45%
24%
31%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
BAS
1 - 1
NEX
68%
19%
13%
|
71 | 82 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2018 |
NEX
1 - 3
STR
47%
23%
30%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
NEX
1 - 1
SIO
38%
25%
37%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
ZUR
0 - 0
NEX
57%
23%
20%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | +1 |