FC Lugano vs Neuchâtel Xamax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.4%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.4%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.2%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
53.8%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.6%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2007 |
CHI
2 - 0
LUG
58%
24%
18%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2007 |
LUG
3 - 3
SER
21%
24%
55%
|
52 | 67 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2007 |
LAU
4 - 0
LUG
49%
26%
25%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | -1 |
| 09 May. 2007 |
LUG
2 - 0
DEL
57%
24%
20%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2007 |
WIL
2 - 2
LUG
57%
23%
20%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Neuchâtel Xamax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2007 |
NEX
5 - 0
BAU
82%
14%
4%
|
68 | 42 | 26 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2007 |
KRI
1 - 2
NEX
33%
26%
41%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2007 |
NEX
3 - 1
YVE
69%
20%
11%
|
67 | 53 | 14 | +1 |
| 09 May. 2007 |
CON
1 - 2
NEX
32%
25%
43%
|
67 | 55 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2007 |
NEX
3 - 0
WIN
69%
20%
12%
|
66 | 53 | 13 | +1 |