FC Lugano vs Neuchâtel Xamax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.7%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.1%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
30.4%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 1999 |
LUG
3 - 0
SER
30%
26%
45%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1999 |
BAS
1 - 0
LUG
61%
22%
17%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1999 |
DEL
1 - 0
LUG
46%
26%
29%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 1999 |
LUG
4 - 1
FCA
52%
25%
24%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 1999 |
STG
2 - 1
LUG
53%
26%
22%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Neuchâtel Xamax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 1999 |
NEX
1 - 2
BAS
49%
24%
27%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1999 |
FCA
4 - 1
NEX
37%
26%
37%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 1999 |
ZUR
2 - 1
NEX
54%
24%
22%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 1999 |
NEX
1 - 2
LAU
36%
25%
39%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 1999 |
FCL
1 - 1
NEX
35%
27%
38%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |