FC Lugano vs Luzern analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.4%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
20.5%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2000 |
SER
2 - 0
LUG
50%
24%
26%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2000 |
LUG
3 - 0
YVE
62%
22%
16%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2000 |
GCZ
0 - 3
LUG
70%
17%
12%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2000 |
LUG
3 - 0
NEX
51%
24%
25%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2000 |
BAS
2 - 3
LUG
57%
23%
21%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2000 |
FCL
3 - 1
SIO
39%
26%
35%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2000 |
SER
2 - 0
FCL
59%
22%
19%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2000 |
FCL
2 - 1
LAU
22%
24%
54%
|
68 | 83 | 15 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2000 |
ZUR
4 - 2
FCL
60%
22%
18%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2000 |
FCL
2 - 0
YVE
50%
25%
25%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |