FC Lugano vs Luzern analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.3%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
28.4%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 1990 |
YOB
2 - 2
LUG
58%
23%
19%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 1990 |
LUG
0 - 0
STG
46%
26%
28%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | +1 |
| 30 May. 1990 |
GCZ
3 - 0
LUG
68%
19%
13%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 May. 1990 |
LUG
0 - 3
LAU
51%
25%
24%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 May. 1990 |
NEX
0 - 0
LUG
65%
20%
15%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 1990 |
FCL
2 - 2
LAU
47%
26%
27%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 1990 |
SIO
1 - 0
FCL
40%
27%
33%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | -1 |
| 30 May. 1990 |
LAU
3 - 0
FCL
49%
25%
27%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 May. 1990 |
FCL
0 - 0
NEX
47%
26%
27%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1990 |
STG
1 - 1
FCL
42%
26%
31%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |