FC Lugano vs Luzern analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.5%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.4%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
27%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 1990 |
YOB
1 - 1
LUG
59%
22%
19%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1990 |
LUG
1 - 0
SIO
46%
26%
28%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1990 |
STG
0 - 1
LUG
57%
23%
20%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 1990 |
LUG
0 - 5
NEX
43%
26%
32%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 1990 |
LAU
3 - 0
LUG
56%
23%
21%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 1990 |
SIO
0 - 2
FCL
53%
24%
23%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1990 |
FCL
2 - 0
YOB
46%
26%
28%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1990 |
GCZ
5 - 1
FCL
56%
23%
21%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1990 |
FCL
2 - 2
STG
48%
26%
26%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 1990 |
NEX
4 - 0
FCL
59%
22%
20%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |