FC Lugano vs Locarno analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.5%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.8%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.3%
17.2%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2012 |
LUG
4 - 0
BIE
54%
23%
23%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2012 |
BEL
3 - 1
LUG
53%
24%
24%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2012 |
LUG
3 - 1
WIL
48%
25%
27%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | +2 |
| 23 May. 2012 |
WIL
1 - 1
LUG
47%
25%
29%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | +1 |
| 19 May. 2012 |
LUG
1 - 2
WIN
47%
25%
29%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Locarno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul. 2012 |
FCV
2 - 0
LOC
56%
22%
22%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2012 |
FCA
1 - 1
LOC
65%
20%
16%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | +1 |
| 14 Jul. 2012 |
LOC
0 - 5
WIN
31%
25%
44%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2012 |
KRI
2 - 3
LOC
23%
23%
54%
|
54 | 42 | 12 | +1 |
| 19 May. 2012 |
LOC
2 - 1
WIL
33%
26%
42%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | +1 |