FC Lugano vs Locarno analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.9%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.9%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
8%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
16.9%
9.2%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2009 |
SCH
0 - 5
LUG
20%
23%
57%
|
67 | 55 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2009 |
WOH
0 - 4
LUG
29%
24%
47%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | +1 |
| 08 Aug. 2009 |
LUG
2 - 1
SER
69%
19%
12%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | +1 |
| 31 Jul. 2009 |
LUG
1 - 2
THU
59%
22%
19%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 Jul. 2009 |
LAU
0 - 5
LUG
29%
25%
46%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Locarno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2009 |
LOC
2 - 6
YVE
34%
26%
40%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2009 |
LOC
2 - 2
FCG
65%
20%
16%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | -1 |
| 07 Aug. 2009 |
WIL
1 - 1
LOC
68%
19%
12%
|
52 | 65 | 13 | +1 |
| 31 Jul. 2009 |
WIN
2 - 2
LOC
55%
23%
22%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2009 |
LOC
1 - 0
LEM
49%
24%
27%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | +1 |