FC Lugano vs Locarno analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.9%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
21.4%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2006 |
LUG
0 - 3
SIO
31%
27%
42%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2006 |
FCL
3 - 2
LUG
64%
21%
15%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2006 |
LUG
4 - 1
MEY
68%
21%
11%
|
57 | 36 | 21 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2006 |
LUG
2 - 1
WIN
51%
25%
24%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2006 |
LUG
0 - 0
LAC
47%
25%
28%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Locarno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2006 |
LOC
3 - 1
WIL
32%
26%
41%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2006 |
LOC
1 - 1
BAU
51%
25%
24%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2006 |
KRI
0 - 2
LOC
58%
23%
20%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2006 |
LOC
1 - 4
WOH
40%
28%
33%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2006 |
LOC
3 - 3
YFJ
53%
24%
24%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |