FC Lugano vs Locarno analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.1%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.6%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
24.1%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jul. 2005 |
BAD
1 - 1
LUG
21%
24%
54%
|
64 | 46 | 18 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2005 |
LUG
2 - 2
MEY
80%
15%
6%
|
65 | 43 | 22 | -1 |
| 22 May. 2005 |
LUG
3 - 4
CHI
53%
25%
22%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2005 |
FCV
2 - 0
LUG
40%
26%
34%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2005 |
FCL
1 - 0
LUG
40%
25%
35%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Locarno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jul. 2005 |
LOC
0 - 1
LAC
64%
21%
15%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2002 |
FCV
2 - 2
LOC
58%
21%
20%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2002 |
LOC
1 - 1
BAD
48%
25%
28%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2002 |
KRI
2 - 0
LOC
54%
23%
23%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2002 |
LOC
0 - 2
BEL
47%
25%
27%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | -1 |