FC Lugano vs Lausanne Sports analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.6%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
26.3%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+22%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
39
1º
4º
2º
35
3º
10º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
40 | 57 |
1º
|
39% | |
|
|
2º
|
39 | 54 |
2º
|
20% | |
|
3º
|
36 | 51 |
3º
|
15.5% | |
|
7º
|
32 | 50 |
4º
|
11.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
35 | 49 |
5º
|
12.5% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 48 |
6º
|
16.5% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 48 |
7º
|
15% | |
|
6º
|
33 | 48 |
8º
|
15.5% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 42 |
9º
|
46% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 34 |
10º
|
54% | |
|
11º
|
21 | 32 |
11º
|
54% | |
|
12º
|
14 | 25 |
12º
|
79% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
94% | 62.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
6% | 37.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2024 |
WAR
1 - 2
LUG
33%
23%
44%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
FCL
1 - 4
LUG
38%
25%
37%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2024 |
YVE
0 - 2
LUG
31%
24%
46%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
SER
3 - 0
LUG
40%
25%
35%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2024 |
LUG
2 - 0
GEN
35%
24%
41%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Lausanne Sports
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2024 |
LAU
3 - 0
ZUR
38%
26%
36%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2024 |
WIN
0 - 3
LAU
39%
25%
37%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
BAS
1 - 1
LAU
51%
24%
25%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
LAU
1 - 0
SIO
41%
25%
34%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
WIN
1 - 0
LAU
35%
26%
39%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |