Europa League 1/32
Global 2-1
FC Lugano vs Inter analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.5%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.2%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.4%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.3%
28.7%
Draw
0-0
11.1%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.7%
42.8%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
13.8%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
23.7%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 1995 |
FCL
1 - 1
LUG
42%
28%
30%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1995 |
LUG
1 - 3
SIO
41%
27%
33%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 1995 |
LUG
2 - 0
FCA
50%
26%
24%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 1995 |
LUG
4 - 0
JEU
85%
11%
4%
|
75 | 53 | 22 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 1995 |
BAS
0 - 2
LUG
58%
23%
20%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Inter
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 1995 |
PAR
2 - 1
INT
49%
26%
26%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1995 |
VNZ
0 - 1
INT
25%
28%
47%
|
87 | 69 | 18 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1995 |
INT
1 - 0
VIC
70%
19%
11%
|
87 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 1995 |
INT
2 - 1
PAD
69%
20%
11%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 May. 1995 |
SAM
2 - 2
INT
59%
22%
20%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |