FC Lugano vs Grasshopper analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.4%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
19.5%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
38
1º
4º
1º
20
8º
12º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
38 | 56 |
1º
|
44.5% | |
|
2º
|
37 | 55 |
2º
|
32% | |
|
3º
|
36 | 54 |
3º
|
21.5% | |
|
5º
|
31 | 49 |
4º
|
13.5% | |
|
4º
|
32 | 49 |
5º
|
13.5% | |
|
6º
|
30 | 48 |
6º
|
13% | |
|
7º
|
29 | 47 |
7º
|
17% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 46 |
8º
|
14.5% | |
|
9º
|
26 | 41 |
9º
|
35% | |
|
|
11º
|
20 | 35 |
10º
|
38% | |
|
10º
|
21 | 33 |
11º
|
48.5% | |
|
12º
|
14 | 26 |
12º
|
84% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
98% | 1.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
2% | 98.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jul. 2024 |
INT
3 - 2
LUG
86%
10%
4%
|
84 | 99 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
LUG
3 - 1
PAR
43%
26%
32%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
LUG
0 - 1
FCA
72%
17%
11%
|
84 | 65 | 19 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2024 |
LUG
5 - 1
BEL
77%
16%
8%
|
84 | 61 | 23 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
LUG
2 - 0
STA
76%
16%
8%
|
84 | 62 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Grasshopper
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
ALT
1 - 0
GCZ
36%
27%
37%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2024 |
GCZ
2 - 1
SCA
46%
24%
30%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2024 |
SIO
4 - 0
GCZ
51%
24%
25%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
GCZ
1 - 1
SCH
65%
19%
16%
|
76 | 62 | 14 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2024 |
THU
1 - 2
GCZ
48%
24%
29%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | +1 |