FC Lugano vs FC Baulmes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.3%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.2%
+6
1.8%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
4.7%
4-0
8.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
10.2%
3-0
15.1%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.2%
+3
18.1%
2-0
19.2%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
24.4%
1-0
16.4%
2-1
6%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
<0%
+1
23.2%
13.1%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
5.1%
2-2
0.9%
3-3
0.1%
0
13.1%
3.6%
Win probability
0.31
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
0.8%
2-3
0.1%
-1
3.1%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2004 |
KRI
1 - 1
LUG
19%
24%
58%
|
75 | 54 | 21 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2004 |
LUG
3 - 1
LAC
75%
17%
8%
|
74 | 42 | 32 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 2004 |
WIN
0 - 1
LUG
16%
22%
62%
|
75 | 48 | 27 | -1 |
| 31 Jul. 2004 |
LUG
3 - 2
YFJ
81%
14%
5%
|
76 | 48 | 28 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2003 |
LUG
0 - 2
GCZ
27%
24%
49%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | -2 |
Matches
FC Baulmes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2004 |
BAU
1 - 3
YVE
24%
26%
51%
|
38 | 58 | 20 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2004 |
FCL
6 - 0
BAU
79%
14%
7%
|
38 | 53 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2004 |
CON
5 - 0
BAU
75%
16%
10%
|
40 | 55 | 15 | -2 |
| 31 Jul. 2004 |
SIO
1 - 1
BAU
71%
19%
11%
|
41 | 63 | 22 | -1 |