FC Lugano vs Aarau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.2%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
25.6%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 1998 |
SIO
2 - 0
LUG
67%
20%
13%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1998 |
LUG
1 - 1
FCL
48%
25%
27%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1998 |
LUG
2 - 2
YOB
54%
25%
22%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1998 |
LAU
3 - 2
LUG
68%
19%
12%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 1998 |
LUG
1 - 1
GCZ
20%
24%
56%
|
68 | 82 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 1998 |
FCA
1 - 1
YOB
54%
24%
22%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1998 |
LAU
2 - 1
FCA
67%
19%
14%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 1998 |
FCA
0 - 3
GCZ
23%
24%
53%
|
69 | 83 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1998 |
STG
4 - 3
FCA
59%
23%
18%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 1998 |
FCA
0 - 2
NEX
29%
24%
46%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | 0 |