FC Lugano vs Aarau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.8%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.8%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
22.5%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 1993 |
ZUR
1 - 1
LUG
48%
27%
26%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1993 |
LUG
0 - 0
KRI
73%
18%
9%
|
72 | 58 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 1993 |
LUG
1 - 1
SER
42%
27%
31%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1993 |
YVE
1 - 2
LUG
49%
26%
25%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1993 |
LUG
0 - 2
YOB
44%
27%
29%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 1993 |
FCA
0 - 0
LAU
49%
26%
25%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1993 |
NEX
3 - 0
FCA
50%
27%
24%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 1993 |
SER
1 - 1
FCA
60%
23%
17%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1993 |
FCA
1 - 0
ZUR
53%
25%
23%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 1993 |
KRI
0 - 1
FCA
37%
27%
36%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | 0 |