FC Lugano vs Aarau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.9%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
25%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
25%
19.1%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 1992 |
ZUR
2 - 1
LUG
41%
28%
31%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 1992 |
LAU
1 - 1
LUG
57%
24%
19%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 1992 |
LUG
1 - 1
SER
37%
27%
36%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 1992 |
LUG
0 - 1
CHI
66%
21%
14%
|
74 | 59 | 15 | -1 |
| 08 Aug. 1992 |
SIO
1 - 4
LUG
60%
23%
17%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 1992 |
FCA
2 - 1
NEX
35%
29%
36%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 1992 |
SER
3 - 0
FCA
64%
21%
14%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 1992 |
FCA
1 - 1
ZUR
57%
23%
20%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 1992 |
FCA
1 - 1
SIO
36%
29%
35%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 1992 |
STG
1 - 4
FCA
59%
24%
17%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |