FC Lugano vs Aarau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.4%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
24%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.8%
0-2
4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 1993 |
LAU
0 - 3
LUG
54%
25%
22%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 May. 1993 |
LUG
1 - 4
NEX
44%
28%
29%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 May. 1993 |
LUG
5 - 0
SIO
38%
29%
33%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 May. 1993 |
YOB
2 - 3
LUG
60%
23%
17%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 May. 1993 |
LUG
0 - 1
SER
37%
27%
36%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 1993 |
FCA
2 - 1
SIO
42%
28%
30%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 May. 1993 |
YOB
1 - 4
FCA
61%
23%
16%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 May. 1993 |
FCA
3 - 0
LAU
42%
28%
29%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1993 |
NEX
0 - 0
FCA
57%
25%
19%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 May. 1993 |
FCA
1 - 0
ZUR
51%
25%
24%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | +1 |