FC Lugano vs Aarau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.3%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.4%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
21.8%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 1988 |
GCZ
3 - 0
LUG
59%
23%
18%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 1988 |
LUG
1 - 1
YOB
59%
22%
19%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 1987 |
FCA
5 - 0
LUG
60%
22%
19%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 1987 |
LUG
1 - 0
FCA
51%
25%
24%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 1987 |
LUG
1 - 0
VEV
70%
18%
12%
|
74 | 59 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 1988 |
FCA
1 - 1
FCL
59%
21%
20%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 1988 |
LAU
0 - 2
FCA
56%
23%
21%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 1988 |
GCZ
2 - 1
FCA
62%
22%
17%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 May. 1988 |
FCA
2 - 2
SER
48%
24%
28%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 May. 1988 |
NEX
2 - 0
FCA
68%
19%
13%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | -1 |