FC Lugano vs Etoile Carouge analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.1%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.4%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.3%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.5%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
9%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19.2%
10.7%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 1999 |
LUG
1 - 1
YVE
55%
24%
21%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1999 |
WIL
3 - 0
LUG
48%
25%
27%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 1999 |
SIO
0 - 2
LUG
56%
24%
20%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 1999 |
LUG
1 - 0
SIO
39%
26%
35%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1999 |
ZUR
0 - 1
LUG
68%
19%
13%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Etoile Carouge
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 1999 |
ETO
1 - 3
YOB
37%
26%
37%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1999 |
FCA
3 - 1
ETO
62%
22%
16%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1999 |
DEL
1 - 1
ETO
70%
19%
12%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1999 |
ETO
1 - 2
DEL
34%
25%
42%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1999 |
ETO
3 - 1
FCA
38%
27%
36%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | +1 |