FC Lugano vs Etoile Carouge analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.7%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
24%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
18.3%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 1997 |
SER
0 - 0
LUG
66%
21%
14%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1997 |
LUG
2 - 3
SOL
70%
20%
10%
|
69 | 51 | 18 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 1997 |
SCH
0 - 0
LUG
56%
24%
21%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1997 |
LUG
0 - 0
FCL
34%
27%
39%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 1996 |
GCZ
2 - 0
LUG
78%
15%
7%
|
69 | 84 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Etoile Carouge
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 1997 |
SCH
1 - 2
ETO
65%
21%
15%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1997 |
ETO
2 - 3
SER
26%
25%
50%
|
62 | 75 | 13 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 1997 |
FCL
0 - 1
ETO
72%
18%
10%
|
61 | 76 | 15 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 1997 |
ETO
2 - 0
SOL
68%
19%
12%
|
60 | 50 | 10 | +1 |
| 14 May. 1996 |
ETO
4 - 2
DEL
49%
25%
26%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | +3 |