FC Lugano vs Etoile Carouge analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.5%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.3%
2-0
14%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.9%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
17.7%
9.7%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 1996 |
LAU
3 - 0
LUG
48%
26%
26%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1996 |
LUG
3 - 3
LAU
51%
25%
24%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1996 |
ETO
0 - 0
LUG
28%
26%
46%
|
74 | 60 | 14 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1996 |
LUG
0 - 0
YOB
59%
23%
18%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1996 |
LUG
0 - 2
ZUR
57%
24%
19%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Etoile Carouge
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 1996 |
ETO
0 - 4
YOB
40%
27%
32%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1996 |
YOB
2 - 0
ETO
68%
19%
13%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1996 |
ETO
0 - 0
LUG
28%
26%
46%
|
60 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1996 |
LAU
1 - 0
ETO
70%
18%
11%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 1996 |
ETO
0 - 0
YVE
44%
26%
30%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | 0 |