FC Lugano vs Chiasso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
18.8%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
FCA
1 - 0
LUG
36%
25%
39%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
LUG
2 - 1
STA
56%
23%
21%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
LUG
2 - 0
FCV
44%
24%
32%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
WOH
0 - 1
LUG
35%
25%
40%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2011 |
LUG
2 - 0
BEL
41%
25%
34%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Chiasso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
CHI
1 - 0
WOH
42%
26%
32%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
LOC
1 - 1
CHI
43%
26%
31%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
CHI
1 - 0
BEL
29%
26%
45%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | +2 |
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
ETO
2 - 1
CHI
29%
26%
44%
|
55 | 43 | 12 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
CHI
1 - 1
LUG
34%
26%
40%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |