FC Lugano vs Chiasso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.5%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.3%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.9%
13.6%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 1992 |
SIO
1 - 4
LUG
60%
23%
17%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 1992 |
LUG
2 - 1
GCZ
38%
28%
34%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Jul. 1992 |
YOB
2 - 3
LUG
59%
23%
18%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 1992 |
LUG
1 - 1
BUL
68%
20%
12%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | -2 |
| 18 Jul. 1992 |
STG
1 - 1
LUG
53%
25%
22%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Chiasso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 1992 |
CHI
3 - 1
NEX
31%
27%
42%
|
59 | 79 | 20 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 1992 |
ZUR
0 - 2
CHI
55%
24%
21%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | +1 |
| 25 Jul. 1992 |
CHI
1 - 1
LAU
33%
28%
39%
|
59 | 80 | 21 | -1 |
| 22 Jul. 1992 |
SER
2 - 0
CHI
74%
17%
9%
|
60 | 79 | 19 | -1 |
| 18 Jul. 1992 |
CHI
1 - 1
FCA
43%
28%
30%
|
61 | 74 | 13 | -1 |