FC Lugano vs Biel-Bienne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.4%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.2%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
20.8%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2008 |
ACV
0 - 5
LUG
11%
18%
71%
|
59 | 9 | 50 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2008 |
LUG
4 - 1
WIN
49%
24%
27%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2008 |
WOH
0 - 1
LUG
37%
25%
38%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2008 |
WIL
3 - 4
LUG
57%
22%
21%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 2008 |
LUG
4 - 0
FCG
57%
23%
20%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Biel-Bienne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2008 |
FCG
3 - 2
BIE
25%
26%
49%
|
56 | 28 | 28 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2008 |
SER
1 - 5
BIE
52%
24%
24%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2008 |
BIE
2 - 1
LOC
54%
24%
22%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2008 |
BIE
1 - 2
YVE
50%
26%
25%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2008 |
STG
4 - 0
BIE
72%
18%
10%
|
56 | 69 | 13 | -1 |