Q. Europa League Playoffs Final
Global 4-8
FC Lugano vs Beşiktaş analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.9%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.5%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
32.9%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
SCB
1 - 7
LUG
11%
16%
73%
|
84 | 49 | 35 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2024 |
LUG
2 - 2
PAR
51%
24%
25%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
LUG
2 - 3
FCL
48%
24%
28%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2024 |
PAR
0 - 1
LUG
39%
24%
38%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
LUG
3 - 1
SER
43%
25%
32%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Beşiktaş
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
BJK
4 - 2
ANT
55%
24%
21%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
SAM
0 - 2
BJK
37%
26%
38%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
GAL
0 - 5
BJK
52%
22%
26%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2024 |
BJK
2 - 1
SAK
63%
21%
16%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
BJK
2 - 0
GEN
73%
17%
10%
|
85 | 71 | 14 | 0 |