FC Lugano vs Basel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.5%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.7%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12%
21%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21%
60.5%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
10%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.6%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.4%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.7%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
CAS
0 - 2
LUG
4%
11%
85%
|
70 | 23 | 47 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2015 |
YOB
0 - 1
LUG
70%
18%
13%
|
69 | 81 | 12 | +1 |
| 08 Aug. 2015 |
GCZ
6 - 1
LUG
56%
24%
20%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | -1 |
| 02 Aug. 2015 |
LUG
1 - 0
FCV
43%
26%
31%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2015 |
LUG
2 - 3
THU
33%
27%
39%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2015 |
BAS
2 - 2
MTA
60%
22%
18%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
MEY
0 - 4
BAS
5%
11%
84%
|
85 | 35 | 50 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2015 |
BAS
3 - 1
THU
63%
21%
16%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2015 |
FCL
1 - 3
BAS
26%
23%
51%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2015 |
BAS
1 - 0
LPO
61%
22%
17%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | +1 |