FC Lugano vs Basel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.7%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.5%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
24.5%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 1999 |
DEL
1 - 2
LUG
49%
25%
26%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 May. 1999 |
LUG
1 - 2
FCA
56%
24%
20%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 May. 1999 |
YOB
0 - 3
LUG
50%
25%
25%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 May. 1999 |
LUG
1 - 1
ETO
70%
19%
11%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 May. 1999 |
LUG
1 - 1
YVE
55%
24%
21%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jul. 1999 |
BAS
0 - 0
ZBR
49%
23%
28%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 1999 |
BAS
6 - 0
KOR
61%
21%
18%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Jun. 1999 |
KOR
0 - 0
BAS
31%
26%
43%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 1999 |
BAS
1 - 1
FCL
55%
23%
22%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 May. 1999 |
NEX
1 - 1
BAS
63%
20%
16%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | 0 |