FC Lugano vs Basel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.5%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.5%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
29.8%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 1995 |
LUG
0 - 0
FCL
53%
24%
23%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1995 |
LAU
0 - 1
LUG
48%
26%
26%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 1995 |
LUG
0 - 0
NEX
47%
26%
26%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1995 |
FCA
3 - 3
LUG
52%
26%
22%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1995 |
LUG
0 - 2
GCZ
35%
28%
38%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 1995 |
BAS
5 - 0
LAU
62%
22%
17%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1995 |
FCL
2 - 1
BAS
34%
29%
37%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1995 |
BAS
1 - 0
GCZ
43%
26%
31%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1995 |
BAS
3 - 1
SIO
47%
25%
28%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | +2 |
| 26 Feb. 1995 |
FCA
0 - 1
BAS
51%
25%
23%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | +2 |