Cup Winners Cup 1/16
Global 0-4
FC Lugano vs Barcelona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.1%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.5%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
39.3%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.6%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barcelona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 1968 |
FCB
0 - 0
RSO
85%
10%
5%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 1968 |
FCB
1 - 0
RMA
69%
16%
15%
|
87 | 89 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Jun. 1968 |
FCB
3 - 1
ATM
69%
18%
13%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 1968 |
ATM
1 - 0
FCB
62%
21%
17%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 1968 |
ATH
0 - 0
FCB
54%
23%
23%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |