FC Lugano vs Baden analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.9%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.8%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.2%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.8%
11.3%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 1998 |
ETO
0 - 1
LUG
34%
27%
39%
|
71 | 56 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1998 |
LUG
3 - 0
ETO
68%
21%
12%
|
71 | 56 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1998 |
BAD
1 - 2
LUG
37%
28%
36%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 1998 |
LUG
0 - 0
BAS
50%
25%
25%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1998 |
LUG
2 - 1
KRI
53%
25%
23%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Baden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 1998 |
BAS
0 - 0
BAD
78%
14%
8%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1998 |
BAD
3 - 1
BAS
32%
26%
42%
|
57 | 70 | 13 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 1998 |
BAD
1 - 2
LUG
37%
28%
36%
|
57 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1998 |
ETO
0 - 0
BAD
54%
23%
22%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1998 |
BAD
0 - 1
SOL
58%
23%
19%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | -1 |