FC Lugano vs Baden analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.8%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
8.3%
3-0
11.9%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.7%
2-0
16.1%
3-1
6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.1%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.4%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
16.2%
7%
Win probability
0.51
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 1992 |
FCM
0 - 6
LUG
29%
29%
42%
|
79 | 56 | 23 | 0 |
| 16 May. 1992 |
LUG
1 - 1
BAS
62%
22%
17%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1992 |
LUG
0 - 0
FCA
61%
23%
16%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1992 |
LOC
1 - 2
LUG
37%
28%
35%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1992 |
FCA
2 - 1
LUG
41%
28%
30%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Baden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 1992 |
BAD
1 - 1
BEL
38%
27%
35%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 May. 1992 |
YVE
3 - 1
BAD
66%
21%
13%
|
55 | 68 | 13 | -1 |
| 09 May. 1992 |
BAD
0 - 1
FCA
35%
29%
36%
|
55 | 74 | 19 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1992 |
BAD
2 - 1
BAS
33%
26%
41%
|
54 | 68 | 14 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 1992 |
FCM
2 - 2
BAD
58%
23%
18%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |