FC Lugano vs AC Bellinzona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.5%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
19.7%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2005 |
LUG
0 - 3
WIL
57%
23%
20%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2005 |
CON
2 - 1
LUG
38%
25%
37%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2005 |
WOH
3 - 1
LUG
25%
25%
49%
|
62 | 48 | 14 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2005 |
LUG
1 - 1
KRI
61%
22%
17%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2005 |
BAU
2 - 1
LUG
16%
23%
61%
|
63 | 46 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
AC Bellinzona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2005 |
FCL
1 - 0
BEL
62%
21%
17%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2005 |
BEL
0 - 2
LAC
46%
25%
29%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2005 |
CON
2 - 1
BEL
51%
24%
25%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2005 |
BEL
0 - 0
WIL
46%
24%
29%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2005 |
WOH
5 - 1
BEL
35%
27%
39%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | -2 |