FC Lugano vs AC Bellinzona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.9%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
19.3%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2000 |
FCA
2 - 2
LUG
45%
26%
30%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2000 |
LUG
1 - 0
BAD
72%
18%
10%
|
76 | 62 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2000 |
LAU
3 - 2
LUG
75%
15%
9%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2000 |
SIO
4 - 0
LUG
48%
26%
26%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2000 |
ZUR
2 - 1
LUG
54%
25%
21%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
AC Bellinzona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2000 |
BEL
3 - 1
BAD
66%
20%
14%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2000 |
FCA
1 - 1
BEL
53%
24%
23%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2000 |
BEL
5 - 0
DEL
59%
21%
20%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2000 |
BEL
0 - 2
THU
63%
20%
17%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2000 |
THU
1 - 1
BEL
45%
25%
30%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |