FC Lugano vs AC Bellinzona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.3%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.1%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.3%
13.4%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 1992 |
BEL
0 - 0
LUG
40%
27%
33%
|
79 | 64 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1992 |
YVE
2 - 2
LUG
38%
28%
34%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1992 |
LUG
1 - 0
LOC
71%
18%
11%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1992 |
BAS
2 - 2
LUG
43%
27%
30%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1992 |
LUG
1 - 0
FCM
77%
16%
7%
|
78 | 57 | 21 | +1 |
Matches
AC Bellinzona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 1992 |
BEL
0 - 0
LUG
40%
27%
33%
|
64 | 79 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1992 |
FCA
2 - 0
BEL
59%
23%
18%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 1992 |
BEL
1 - 4
YVE
59%
23%
18%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 1992 |
BEL
2 - 1
BAS
48%
24%
28%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 1992 |
LOC
1 - 0
BEL
53%
24%
23%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | -1 |