FC Lugano vs AC Bellinzona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.5%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.2%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.9%
16.6%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 1989 |
FCA
0 - 3
LUG
57%
23%
20%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1989 |
LUG
4 - 0
SER
43%
25%
32%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 1989 |
SIO
3 - 1
LUG
68%
19%
13%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 1989 |
YOB
3 - 0
LUG
62%
21%
17%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 1989 |
LUG
2 - 2
FCL
48%
26%
26%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
AC Bellinzona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 1989 |
BEL
0 - 2
FCW
44%
29%
27%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1989 |
LAU
5 - 1
BEL
64%
20%
17%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 1989 |
BEL
2 - 1
STG
39%
27%
34%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 1989 |
BEL
0 - 0
NEX
26%
27%
47%
|
62 | 77 | 15 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 1989 |
GCZ
2 - 0
BEL
67%
19%
14%
|
63 | 78 | 15 | -1 |