FC Lugano vs AC Bellinzona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.7%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.5%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.7%
15.6%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 1988 |
STG
4 - 1
LUG
45%
26%
29%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 1988 |
LUG
2 - 1
FCA
53%
25%
22%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 1988 |
GCZ
3 - 0
LUG
59%
23%
18%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 1988 |
LUG
1 - 1
YOB
59%
22%
19%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 1987 |
FCA
5 - 0
LUG
60%
22%
19%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
AC Bellinzona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 1988 |
BEL
1 - 1
LAU
47%
24%
29%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 1988 |
FCW
1 - 0
BEL
52%
26%
22%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 1988 |
BEL
4 - 0
SER
34%
26%
41%
|
62 | 77 | 15 | +1 |
| 23 Jul. 1988 |
NEX
2 - 2
BEL
78%
15%
8%
|
61 | 80 | 19 | +1 |
| 12 Dec. 1987 |
NEX
2 - 1
BEL
86%
10%
4%
|
61 | 81 | 20 | 0 |