Lugano II vs Winterthur II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.6%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
27.9%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lugano II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
BAD
3 - 1
LUG
76%
16%
9%
|
32 | 46 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
LUG
2 - 1
FCG
32%
23%
45%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | +2 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
FCB
1 - 1
LUG
64%
20%
15%
|
29 | 36 | 7 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
LUG
2 - 4
FCT
43%
26%
32%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | -2 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
FCW
2 - 0
LUG
59%
22%
19%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Winterthur II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
WIN
2 - 4
GRA
42%
24%
35%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2014 |
MEN
2 - 0
WIN
47%
25%
27%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
WIN
4 - 1
TAV
67%
18%
15%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2014 |
DIE
2 - 0
WIN
50%
21%
29%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | -2 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
WIN
4 - 2
ESC
24%
22%
54%
|
32 | 42 | 10 | +3 |