1. Liga Classic Semi-finals
Global 2-0
Lugano II vs Vevey Sports analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.5%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
7%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.3%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
32.9%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+50%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lugano II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 2023 |
VEV
0 - 1
LUG
55%
23%
22%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2023 |
FRE
1 - 1
LUG
31%
24%
45%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
LUG
0 - 1
FCP
28%
26%
46%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
FCG
1 - 3
LUG
31%
25%
44%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
LUG
4 - 0
UZW
70%
17%
13%
|
41 | 30 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Vevey Sports
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 2023 |
VEV
0 - 1
LUG
55%
23%
22%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2023 |
VEV
4 - 2
GRA
71%
18%
11%
|
44 | 31 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
ECH
2 - 5
VEV
42%
25%
33%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | +2 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
VEV
0 - 0
SEC
73%
17%
10%
|
42 | 30 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
SER
1 - 1
VEV
77%
15%
9%
|
42 | 50 | 8 | 0 |