Lugano II vs Rapperswil analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.4%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.1%
1-0
5%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.7%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
52.7%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
16%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
8.8%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.8%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lugano II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
HON
1 - 1
LUG
63%
20%
17%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2011 |
LUG
2 - 5
FCG
49%
22%
29%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -2 |
| 21 May. 2011 |
LUG
1 - 4
STG
35%
23%
42%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | -3 |
| 14 May. 2011 |
GCB
1 - 1
LUG
56%
22%
23%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2011 |
LUG
0 - 1
BAD
35%
25%
41%
|
35 | 44 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Rapperswil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
RAP
3 - 2
YFJ
49%
23%
28%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2011 |
ESC
4 - 0
RAP
38%
25%
38%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | -2 |
| 21 May. 2011 |
SCB
3 - 1
RAP
42%
24%
34%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | -2 |
| 14 May. 2011 |
RAP
2 - 2
FCG
76%
15%
9%
|
46 | 30 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2011 |
BUO
0 - 2
RAP
15%
21%
65%
|
46 | 25 | 21 | 0 |