Lugano II vs Perlen-Buchrain analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.5%
Win probability
2.79
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.9%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
9.5%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.4%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.3%
14.9%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
14.9%
11.6%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lugano II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2017 |
HER
0 - 1
LUG
55%
22%
23%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2017 |
LUG
3 - 4
HOC
58%
20%
22%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2017 |
BRU
2 - 0
LUG
40%
23%
37%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2017 |
LUG
4 - 1
ASC
53%
23%
24%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
VED
4 - 1
LUG
35%
22%
42%
|
28 | 23 | 5 | -2 |
Matches
Perlen-Buchrain
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2017 |
PER
1 - 3
LUZ
27%
21%
52%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2017 |
TAV
1 - 2
PER
66%
18%
16%
|
20 | 27 | 7 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2017 |
CAS
0 - 2
PER
40%
23%
37%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2017 |
PER
0 - 6
HER
20%
18%
61%
|
21 | 28 | 7 | -2 |
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
HOC
1 - 3
PER
64%
19%
18%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | +1 |